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Coronavirus ushers in new era of collaboration among scientists

In a conference room in Washington, D.C., a dozen epidemiologists huddle over a computer monitor. On the screen, a map of self-reported data from test labs around the world shows a lethal strain of avian influenza originating in Asia.

They summon their colleagues—data scientists, economists, and sociologists. What could happen if the pathogen isn’t contained? They build a series of simulations. The US poultry trade will be impacted, as will soybean farmers. Travelers from Asia will need to be monitored; a new vaccine might need to be produced. An alert goes out so that the Centers for Disease Control and Pre­vention and the US Department of Health and Human Services can prepare.

That’s a hypothetical example of what an infectious disease forecasting center, housed inside the US government, might do. The center, however, doesn’t exist.